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Dow Jones Undergoes Losses Not Seen Since Peak Of Great Depression

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Joe Biden

As Americans brace for a likely recession within the next year, the stock market has undergone losses not seen in decades.

According to The Wall Street Journal, “The Dow industrials are headed toward their eighth straight weekly loss, their longest such streak since 1932, near the height of the Great Depression. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq are on course for their longest streak of weekly losses since 2001, after the dot-com bubble burst.”

Brian Levitt, global market strategist at Invesco, explained that the losses were over worries about a stagnating U.S. economy.

“It’s clear that in a very short period of time, we moved from a pandemic to an inflation scare to now, serious concerns about growth,” Levitt said.

Economists warn that the U.S. economy could face a recession next year, which is defined as having two consecutive quarters of negative GDP growth. Goldman Sachs’ economists estimate that there is a 35% probability of the U.S. entering a recession at some point within the next two years.

“Recession risks are high — uncomfortably high — and rising,” said Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody’s Analytics. “For the economy to navigate through without suffering a downturn, we need some very deft policymaking from the Fed and a bit of luck.”

“This week alone, former Goldman Sachs chief executive Lloyd Blankfein warned of a ‘very, very high risk’ of recession; Wells Fargo CEO Charlie Scharf said there was ‘no question’ that the U.S. economy is heading toward a downturn; and former Fed chair Ben Bernanke cautioned that the country could be poised for ’stagflation’ — a slowing economy combined with high inflation,” The Washington Post reported.

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2 Comments

2 Comments

  1. groy

    May 22, 2022 at 8:10 am

    Putin’s fault.

  2. peter

    May 26, 2022 at 2:05 pm

    It quite obvious that since Biden in the White house, disastrous policies have cause downturn in almost all facets of American progress. His policies, personally, economically, socially, and politically have hurt the country to the extent that it will take many years for a new administration to reverse course. All of this excluding the harm he has caused by foreign policies that have, at the very lease, embolden other major powers to exploit.

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Economy

Atlanta Fed’s GDP Tracker Shows United States May Be In A Recession

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Joe Biden

The United States has likely entered a recession, according to the Federal Reserve’s key gauge for measuring economic activity.

The Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow measure, which tracks economic data in real time and continuously adjusts projections, says that the United States economy will shrink by 2.1% in the second quarter. A 2.1% contraction in the second quarter paired with the first quarter’s decline of 1.6% would meet the definition of a recession.

“GDPNow has a strong track record, and the closer we get to July 28th’s release [of the initial Q2 GDP estimate] the more accurate it becomes,” wrote Nicholas Colas, co-founder of DataTrek Research.

The tracker fell dramatically last week from an estimate of 0.3% after data “showing further weakness in consumer spending and inflation-adjusted domestic investment prompted the cut that put the April-through-June period into negative territory,” CNBC reported.

“One big change in the quarter has been rising interest rates,” CNBC added. “In an effort to curb surging inflation, the Fed has jacked up its benchmark borrowing rate by 1.5 percentage points since March, with more increases likely to come through the remainder of the year and perhaps into 2023.”

Last week, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell warned that the decision to fight inflation by increasing interest rates was “highly likely” to cause pain to Americans.

During the European Central Bank forum, host Francine Laqua asked Powell, “If you’re speaking out to the American people to try and help them understand how long it will take for, you know, monetary policy to go back to something that resembles normalcy … what would you tell them?”

“I would say that we fully understand and appreciate … the pain people are going through dealing with higher inflation, that we have the tools to address that and the resolve to use them, and that we are committed to and will succeed in getting inflation down to two percent,” Powell responded.

“The process is likely, highly likely to involve some pain, but the worst pain would be from failing to address this high inflation and allowing it to become persistent,” he added.

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Economy

Biden’s Fed Chairman: Solving Inflation ‘Highly Likely To Involve Some Pain’ For Americans

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On Wednesday, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell said that solving the inflation crisis is “highly likely” to cause pain to Americans but that it would be less painful than not addressing inflation.

During the European Central Bank forum, host Francine Laqua asked Powell, “If you’re speaking out to the American people to try and help them understand how long it will take for, you know, monetary policy to go back to something that resembles normalcy … what would you tell them?

“I would say that we fully understand and appreciate … the pain people are going through dealing with higher inflation, that we have the tools to address that and the resolve to use them, and that we are committed to and will succeed in getting inflation down to two percent,” he responded.

“The process is likely, highly likely to involve some pain, but the worst pain would be from failing to address this high inflation and allowing it to become persistent,” Powell added.

Powell’s comments come as inflation has reached the highest rate in more than 40 years with prices rising 8.6% from May 2021 to May 2022, according to a new report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics.

In order to bring down inflation, the Federal Reserve increased the interest rate by 0.75% earlier this month – the highest increase since 1994 – and warned of additional increases in the interest rate in the future.

“The three-quarter-point hike brings the federal funds rate to between 1.5% and 1.75%. The federal funds rate dictates what it costs for banks to borrow money from each other. And, generally, higher interest rates mean it’s more expensive for consumers to get a mortgage, obtain a loan to buy a vehicle and to carry a balance on a credit card,” NBC News reported. “The expected effect of these changes is that consumers will spend less and the heightened demand for goods — one of the drivers of inflation — will slow down.”

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